Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.