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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 31, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Swansea logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Swansea

Campbell (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piroe (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
44.34% (-0.121 -0.12)26.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08)28.93% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45% (-0.299 -0.3)55% (0.301 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.73% (-0.248 -0.25)76.27% (0.25 0.25)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.33% (-0.193 -0.19)24.67% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.8% (-0.272 -0.27)59.2% (0.274 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (-0.126 -0.13)34.09% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-0.139 -0.14)70.78% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 44.34%
    Swansea City 28.93%
    Draw 26.72%
Stoke CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 11.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.93%

How you voted: Stoke vs Swansea

Stoke City
75.6%
Draw
13.4%
Swansea City
11.0%
82
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Stoke
3-0
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (47'), Baker (59' pen.), Brown (78')
Wilmot (45'), Brown (85')

Christie (26'), Grimes (29'), Ntcham (31'), Wolf (85')
Bennett (58')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
1-3
Stoke
Piroe (73')
Powell (15'), Clucas (53'), Skiri Oestigaard (60')
Clucas (53'), Tymon (81')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Stoke
1-2
Swansea
Powell (6')
Roberts (19'), Ayew (90+5' pen.)
Manning (71')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Swansea
2-0
Stoke
Fulton (30'), Palmer (87')
Grimes (53'), Palmer (85')

Smith (51'), McClean (84'), Gunn (87')
rhs 2.0


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