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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Cardiff City | 7 | -2 | 8 |
17 | Stoke City | 6 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Wigan Athletic | 6 | -3 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
21 | Birmingham City | 7 | -4 | 5 |
22 | Swansea City | 6 | -5 | 5 |
23 | Huddersfield Town | 5 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
44.34% ( -0.12) | 26.72% ( 0.08) | 28.93% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45% ( -0.3) | 55% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.73% ( -0.25) | 76.27% ( 0.25) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% ( -0.19) | 24.67% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.8% ( -0.27) | 59.2% ( 0.27) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.91% ( -0.13) | 34.09% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.22% ( -0.14) | 70.78% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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