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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Blackburn Rovers | 8 | -2 | 12 |
7 | Reading | 7 | -3 | 12 |
8 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 11 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Blackpool | 7 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Stoke City | 7 | -2 | 8 |
20 | Birmingham City | 8 | -3 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
28.65% ( 0.1) | 27.98% ( 0.06) | 43.37% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 45.93% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.32% ( -0.17) | 59.68% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.01% ( -0.13) | 79.99% ( 0.13) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( -0.02) | 36.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% ( -0.02) | 73.61% ( 0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.69% ( -0.16) | 27.3% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.25% ( -0.21) | 62.75% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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