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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 4, 2022 at 12pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Stoke logo

Reading
2 - 1
Stoke

Joao (2', 57' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilmot (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Reading and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawStoke City
28.65% (0.096 0.1)27.98% (0.061 0.06)43.37% (-0.155 -0.16)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-0.114 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.32% (-0.17 -0.17)59.68% (0.17 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01% (-0.13 -0.13)79.99% (0.131 0.13)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)36.82% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.61% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)27.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (-0.211 -0.21)62.75% (0.212 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Reading 28.64%
    Stoke City 43.37%
    Draw 27.97%
ReadingDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.055 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 13.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 43.37%

How you voted: Reading vs Stoke

Reading
46.2%
Draw
19.2%
Stoke City
34.6%
26
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Stoke
Morrison (13'), Harwood-Bellis (63' og.)
Ejaria (30')
Sawyers (44')
Tymon (62'), Harwood-Bellis (71'), Wilmot (90+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Reading
Powell (25'), Brown (28'), Surridge (85')
Swift (26'), Moore (61')
Moore (24'), Laurent (90')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Stoke
0-0
Reading

McClean (24'), Batth (64'), Brown (86')
Nov 7, 2020 12.30pm
Reading
0-3
Stoke
Campbell (23'), Fletcher (35'), Brown (90+4')
Thompson (4'), McClean (86')
Jun 20, 2020 3pm