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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Reading | 7 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Blackpool | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 19 | Stoke City | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Birmingham City | 8 | -3 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Reading had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Reading in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
| 28.65% ( | 27.98% ( | 43.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.32% ( | 59.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% ( | 79.99% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( | 36.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.39% ( | 73.61% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( | 27.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( | 62.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 13.05% ( 0-2 @ 8.47% ( 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.37% |