Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.