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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Rotherham United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Middlesbrough | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Millwall | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Reading |
| 51.28% ( | 25.98% ( | 22.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.65% ( | 56.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( | 77.37% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( | 22.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( | 55.38% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( | 40.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% ( | 76.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% 2-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-0 @ 5.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 1-2 @ 5.57% 0-2 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.32% Total : 22.74% |