Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 4
Watford

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')

Reaction

Watford manager Slaven Bilic on October 2, 2022

Slaven Bilic starts Watford reign with big win at Stoke

Slaven Bilic gets his Watford reign off to a perfect start with a 4-0 away win over Stoke at the bet365 Stadium.

Oct 2, 12:55

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Watford 2-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Watford
46.16% ( 0.04)	27.39% ( -0)	26.44% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.15% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.29% (

-0.02)

58.71% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.75% (

-0.02)

79.24% (

0.02)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

0.01)

25.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

0.01)

60.25% (

-0.02)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.88% (

-0.05)

38.11% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.12% (

-0.05)

74.88% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 46.16%

Watford 26.44%

Draw 27.39%

Stoke City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 46.16%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.44%