Championship Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Keinan Davis 34' goal
  • Luke O'Nien 62' goal
  • goal Aji Alese 45'
  • goal Jewison Bennette 87'

Watford vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn 2 - 0 Watford
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Sunderland

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
Reading 0 - 3 Sunderland
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Amad Diallo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Watford 45.21% (-3.32)
Draw 26.33% (-0.04)
Sunderland 28.46% (+3.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.55% (+2.63)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.29% (+2.18)
Under 2.5 53.71% (-2.18)
Over 3.5 24.8% (+1.80)
Under 3.5 75.2% (-1.80)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 76.32% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 23.68% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 42.21% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 57.79% (+0.89)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5 66.23% (+3.94)
Under 0.5 33.77% (-3.95)
Over 1.5 29.57% (+4.06)
Under 1.5 70.43% (-4.06)

Score analysis

Watford 45.21%
Draw 26.32%
Sunderland 28.46%
Watford
1-0 @ 11.52% (-1.25)
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-1.06)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.59)
3-2 @ 2.35% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.25)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 45.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.71)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.45)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.32%
Sunderland
0-1 @ 8.68% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 6.79% (+0.73)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.58)
1-3 @ 2.46% (+0.49)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.33)
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.37)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.46%

Head to Head

Premier League
Apr 1, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Miguel Britos 59' goal
  • Etienne Capoue 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Billy Jones 72'
  • yellowcard Wahbi Khazri 77'
  • yellowcard Lamine Kone 78'
Premier League
Dec 17, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adnan Januzaj 36' yellowcard
  • Patrick van Aanholt 50' goal
  • yellowcard Valon Behrami 45'
  • yellowcard Younes Kaboul 75'
Premier League
May 15, 2016 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sebastian Prodl 48' goal
  • Troy Deeney 61' goal
  • Adlene Guedioura 80' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Rodwell 39'
  • goal Jeremain Lens 51'
Premier League
Dec 12, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jack Rodwell 60' yellowcard
  • goal Odion Ighalo 4'
Championship
Feb 12, 2005 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcus Stewart 18' goal
  • Marcus Stewart 33' goal
  • Marcus Stewart 51' goal
  • Chris Brown 73' goal
  • yellowcard Johnnie Jackson 52'
Championship
Oct 19, 2004 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Neal Ardley 9' goal
  • Jermaine Darlington 86' yellowcard
  • goal Stephen Elliott 22'