Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
2 - 2
Sunderland

Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Alese (45'), Bennette (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Rotherham United	8	6	13
10	Watford	9	0	13
11	Wigan Athletic	8	-1	13

Sunderland

Last Six:

Last Game: Reading 0-3 Sunderland
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Burnley	9	6	14
6	Sunderland	9	5	14
7	Bristol City	9	4	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Watford	Draw	Sunderland
45.21% ( -3.31)	26.33% ( -0.04)	28.46% ( 3.35)

Both teams to score 50.55% (

2.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.29% (

2.17)

53.71% (

-2.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

1.8)

75.2% (

-1.8)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.61)

23.68% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

-0.88)

57.79% (

0.88)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

3.94)

33.77% (

-3.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

4.06)

70.43% (

-4.06)

Score Analysis

Watford 45.21%

Sunderland 28.46%

Draw 26.32%

Watford	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 11.52% ( -1.24) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -1.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.59) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.21%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.44) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.58) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.36) Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.46%