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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
32.1% ( -0.26) | 27.89% ( -0.11) | 40.02% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 47.59% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.74% ( 0.34) | 58.26% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.11% ( 0.27) | 78.89% ( -0.26) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.53% ( -0) | 33.47% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.89% ( -0.01) | 70.11% ( 0.01) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.53% ( 0.38) | 28.47% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( 0.47) | 64.23% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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