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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
| 32.1% ( | 27.89% ( | 40.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.74% ( | 58.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.11% ( | 78.89% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( | 33.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% ( | 70.11% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( | 28.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( | 64.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.09% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 11.97% ( 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 40.02% |