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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Burnley logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Burnley

Robinson (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
32.1% (-0.258 -0.26)27.89% (-0.108 -0.11)40.02% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.245 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.343 0.34)58.26% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.267 0.27)78.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.11% (0.012 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.376 0.38)28.47% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.467 0.47)64.23% (-0.46199999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.09%
    Burnley 40.02%
    Draw 27.88%
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Burnley

Cardiff City
10.5%
Draw
14.0%
Burnley
75.4%
57
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Apr 20, 2013 12.45pm
rhs 2.0


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