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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Burnley logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Burnley

Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32'), Ng (47'), Kipre (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 0-2 Burnley

Under temporary guidance, it is unclear how the Cardiff squad will react to the exit of their manager. However, Burnley's added quality and extra strength-in-depth should shine through at some stage, leading us to predict a professional performance and victory from Kompany's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
32.1% (-0.258 -0.26) 27.89% (-0.108 -0.11) 40.02% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 47.59% (0.245 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (0.343 0.34)58.26% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.267 0.27)78.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.47% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)70.11% (0.012 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.376 0.38)28.47% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.467 0.47)64.23% (-0.46199999999999 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.09%
    Burnley 40.02%
    Draw 27.88%
Cardiff CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 32.09%
1-1 @ 13.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.52% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 40.02%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Burnley

Cardiff City
10.5%
Draw
14.0%
Burnley
75.4%
57
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Apr 20, 2013 12.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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