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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
| 40.36% | 26.38% | 33.26% |
| Both teams to score 52.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% | 52.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.1% | 73.9% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% | 25.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% | 60.26% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% | 29.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% | 65.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.35% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.26% |