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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
48.1% | 26.71% | 25.19% |
Both teams to score 47.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.92% | 57.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.04% | 77.96% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.22% | 23.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% | 57.94% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% | 38.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% | 75.06% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.58% Total : 25.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |