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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.46% ( -0.13) | 27.18% ( 0.16) | 34.36% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( -0.62) | 55.19% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( -0.51) | 76.43% ( 0.51) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% ( -0.37) | 27.89% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( -0.47) | 63.5% ( 0.47) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.62% ( -0.32) | 30.38% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.43% ( -0.38) | 66.57% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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