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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 38.46% ( | 27.18% ( | 34.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( | 55.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( | 76.43% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( | 27.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( | 63.5% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( | 30.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.36% |