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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 48.83% ( | 26.73% ( | 24.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.36% ( | 57.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.59% | 78.4% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( | 23.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( | 57.8% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( | 39.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24% ( | 75.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 24.45% |