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Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Sunderland

Swansea
2 - 1
Sunderland

Cooper (13'), Darling (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clarke (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
41.37% (0.16699999999999 0.17)26.23% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)32.4% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.75% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.071999999999999 0.07)73.52% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28% (0.124 0.12)24.71% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.74% (0.174 0.17)59.26% (-0.175 -0.18)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)29.94% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)66.04% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 41.37%
    Sunderland 32.4%
    Draw 26.22%
Swansea CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.4%

How you voted: Swansea vs Sunderland

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
21.9%
Sunderland
12.3%
73
Head to Head
May 13, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
0-2
Swansea

Larsson (58'), Khazri (78'), Gibson (84'), Borini (86')
Llorente (9'), Naughton (45')
Dec 10, 2016 3pm
Swansea
3-0
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (50' pen.), Llorente (54', 80')
Rangel (60')

Ndong (18'), Denayer (43')
Jan 13, 2016 7.45pm
Swansea
2-4
Sunderland
Sigurdsson (21' pen.), Ayew (40')
Naughton (37')
Defoe (3', 61', 85'), Van Aanholt (49')
Mannone (67'), van Aanholt (79')
rhs 2.0


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