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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 29.14% ( | 26.14% ( | 44.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( | 52.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( | 74.28% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( | 32.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( | 69.24% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( | 23.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( | 57.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 3-0 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.14% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0-4 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.71% |