League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Charles (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Oxford United
53.77% ( 0.16)	24.57% ( -0.04)	21.66% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 49.34% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

0.01)

52.11% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

0.01)

73.83% (

-0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

0.07)

19.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.91% (

0.11)

51.08% (

-0.11)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15% (

-0.12)

38.85% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

-0.11)

75.58% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 53.76%

Oxford United 21.66%

Draw 24.56%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.76%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.66%