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Championship header 2

League One

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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (73')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 2-3 Bolton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 11.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
70.47% (0.082999999999998 0.08)17.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)11.69% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)40.98% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)63.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58% (0.015999999999991 0.02)10.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.01% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.98% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (-0.107 -0.11)44.98% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)80.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 70.46%
    Burton Albion 11.69%
    Draw 17.84%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 70.46%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.84%
0-1 @ 3.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 11.69%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion

Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')

Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Bolton
3-4
Burton Albion
Dodoo (5'), Murphy (11'), Politic (84')
Murphy (29'), Buckley (75')
Murphy (49')
Templeton (13'), Akins (26', 45'), Boyce (81')
Fraser (70')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Burton Albion
2-0
Bolton
Akpan (28'), Akins (36')
McFadzean (11'), Akins (79')

Pratley (33'), Beevers (75')