League One Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Gatlin O'Donkor 50' goal
  • goal Carlos Mendes Gomes 2'

Oxford United vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Bolton 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Kyle Joseph

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Fleetwood 3 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Jack Marriott

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Oxford United 52.77% (+0.24)
Draw 23.92% (-0.11)
Fleetwood Town 23.3% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.35% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.2% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 47.8% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 30.01% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 69.98% (-0.28)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 81.93% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 18.07% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 51.02% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 48.98% (-0.36)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 65.12% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.88% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.38% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.61% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Oxford United 52.77%
Draw 23.92%
Fleetwood Town 23.3%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.23% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.26% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.37% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 2.25% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.92%
Fleetwood Town
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 23.3%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 43
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Ellis Harrison 39' goal
  • Ellis Harrison 52' yellowcard
  • Cian Hayes 53' goal
  • goal Nathan Holland 2'
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 7'
  • goal Billy Bodin 16'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 71'
  • yellowcard Jack Stevens 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 19
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Luke McNally 5' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 13' goal
  • Nathan Holland 69' goal
  • Gavin Whyte 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jay Matete 40'
  • yellowcard Max Clark 52'
  • yellowcard Daniel Batty 65'
  • yellowcard Jay Matete 84'
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Josh Ruffels 28' goal
  • Alex Rodriguez 38' yellowcard
  • Sam Winnall 66' yellowcard
  • Dan Agyei 76' yellowcard
  • redcard Charlie Mulgrew 6'
  • yellowcard Danny Andrew 82'
League One Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Callum Camps 1' goal
  • Paddy Madden 76' goal
  • Mark Duffy 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Ruffels 53'
  • yellowcard Sam Long 87'
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2020 3.00pm
The Kassam Stadium
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 7, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Paddy Madden 15' goal
  • Peter Clarke 79' goal
  • Paul Coutts 89' yellowcard
  • goal Elliott Moore 33'
  • yellowcard Jamie Mackie 40'
  • yellowcard Shandon Baptiste 49'