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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Fleetwood

O'Donkor (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendes Gomes (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Accrington
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
52.77% (0.239 0.24)23.92% (-0.103 -0.1)23.3% (-0.141 -0.14)
Both teams to score 53.35% (0.163 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (0.294 0.29)47.8% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01% (0.27 0.27)69.98% (-0.277 -0.28)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (0.202 0.2)18.07% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (0.347 0.35)48.98% (-0.352 -0.35)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)34.88% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (0.038 0.04)71.61% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 52.77%
    Fleetwood Town 23.3%
    Draw 23.92%
Oxford UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.92%
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 23.3%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Fleetwood

Oxford United
76.7%
Draw
20.0%
Fleetwood Town
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
Fleetwood
Ruffels (28')
Rodriguez (38'), Winnall (66'), Agyei (76')

Andrew (82')
Mulgrew (6')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Oxford Utd
Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Oxford Utd
P-P
Fleetwood