Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
| 42.84% ( | 26.86% ( | 30.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( | 54.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( | 76.22% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( | 25.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( | 60.2% ( |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( | 33.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.3% |