Premier League Gameweek 26
Mar 6, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ethan Pinnock 6' goal
  • Ivan Toney 53' goal
  • Mathias Jensen 85' goal
  • goal Manor Solomon 39'
  • goal Carlos Vinicius 90'+9'

Brentford vs Fulham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Brentford 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Fulham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2023 8.00pm
Fulham 1 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Aleksandar Mitrovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result

Brentford 50% (-0.05)
Draw 24.94% (+0.02)
Fulham 25.06% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.06% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.57% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 50.43% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.64% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.36% (+0.03)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 79.82% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.18% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 47.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 52.48% (+0.05)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5 65.23% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 34.77% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.5% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Brentford 50%
Draw 24.94%
Fulham 25.06%
Brentford
1-0 @ 11.23% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 24.94%
Fulham
0-1 @ 7.41% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.06%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Bobby Reid 1' goal
  • Joao Palhinha 20' goal
  • Joao Palhinha 29' yellowcard
  • Kenny Tete 31' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 90' goal
  • Kevin Mbabu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Norgaard 44'
  • yellowcard Josh Dasilva 56'
  • goal Ivan Toney 71'
  • yellowcard Ben Mee 80'
EFL Cup
Oct 1, 2020 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Marcus Forss 37' goal
  • Tariqe Fosu 47' yellowcard
  • Said Benrahma 62' goal
  • Said Benrahma 77' goal
  • yellowcard Aboubakar Kamara 12'
  • yellowcard Stefan Johansen 49'
Championship
Aug 4, 2020 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET Wembley Stadium
  • Mathias Jensen 88' yellowcard
  • Christian Norgaard 103' yellowcard
  • Henrik Dalsgaard 120'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Harrison Reed 29'
  • yellowcard Tom Cairney 67'
  • yellowcard Michael Hector 98'
  • yellowcard Anthony Knockaert 102'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Mitrovic 104'
  • goal Joe Bryan 105'
  • goal Joe Bryan 117'
  • yellowcard Ivan Cavaleiro 120'+2'
  • yellowcard Marek Rodak 120'+4'
Championship Gameweek 38
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Craven Cottage
  • Harry Arter 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Dasilva 37'
  • goal Said Benrahma 88'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Marcondes 90'
  • goal Emiliano Marcondes 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 22
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bryan Mbeumo 22' goal
  • Henrik Dalsgaard 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 12'
Championship
Apr 14, 2018 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 70' goal
  • Ryan Fredericks 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Mepham 49'
  • yellowcard Neal Maupay 76'
  • goal Neal Maupay 90'