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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Crystal Palace logo

Brentford
1 - 1
Crystal Palace

Janelt (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eze (69')

The Match

Match Report

Vitaly Janelt comes up with a last-gasp leveller for Brentford as the Bees play out a 1-1 London derby draw with Crystal Palace at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawCrystal Palace
54.88% (-0.187 -0.19)23.51% (0.070999999999998 0.07)21.61% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.48% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (-0.155 -0.16)47.9% (0.158 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (-0.142 -0.14)70.08% (0.146 0.15)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.122 -0.12)17.32% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.217 -0.22)47.69% (0.222 0.22)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47% (0.029999999999994 0.03)36.52% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (0.029 0.03)73.31% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 54.87%
    Crystal Palace 21.61%
    Draw 23.51%
BrentfordDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 11.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.61%

How you voted: Brentford vs Crystal Palace

Brentford
73.6%
Draw
13.5%
Crystal Palace
12.9%
163
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Aug 2, 2014 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Brentford
3-2
Crystal Palace
Douglas (48'), Gray (55'), Odubajo (75')
Murray (56'), Chamakh (57')