Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
2 - 1
Crystal Palace

Fernandes (7' pen.), Rashford (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schlupp (76')

Reaction

Manchester United midfielder Marcel Sabitzer on February 4, 2023

Erik ten Hag pleased with Marcel Sabitzer debut for Manchester United

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag praises Marcel Sabitzer for his contribution to Saturday's nervy win over Crystal Palace.

Feb 5, 08:44

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Newcastle
Saturday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 78.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
78.25% ( 0.16)	14.52% ( -0.1)	7.22% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 42.35% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.04% (

0.21)

39.95% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.68% (

0.22)

62.31% (

-0.22)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.69% (

0.08)

8.31% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.02% (

0.21)

28.98% (

-0.22)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.19% (

-0.02)

53.81% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.84% (

-0.02)

87.16% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 78.24%

Crystal Palace 7.22%

Draw 14.52%

Manchester United	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-0 @ 13.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 78.24%	1-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 14.52%	0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 7.22%