Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 79.72%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 6.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 1-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Bournemouth |
79.72% ( -0.07) | 13.53% ( 0.13) | 6.75% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 43.54% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.04% ( -0.97) | 36.96% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.86% ( -1.06) | 59.14% ( 1.06) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.69% ( -0.22) | 7.31% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.55% ( -0.59) | 26.45% ( 0.59) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.98% ( -0.88) | 53.02% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.34% ( -0.57) | 86.66% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Bournemouth |
2-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.51% Total : 79.71% | 1-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 13.53% | 0-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 6.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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