Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 79.72%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 6.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 1-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 79.72% ( | 13.53% ( | 6.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( | 59.14% ( |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.69% ( | 7.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.55% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.98% ( | 53.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.34% ( | 86.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 13.26% ( 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 4-0 @ 7.56% ( 3-1 @ 7.34% ( 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 5-0 @ 3.95% ( 5-1 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 6-0 @ 1.72% ( 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 6-1 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 79.71% | 1-1 @ 6.44% ( 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 2-2 @ 2.67% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 13.53% | 0-1 @ 2.46% ( 1-2 @ 2.04% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 6.75% |