Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 27, 2022 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kai Havertz 16' goal
  • Mason Mount 24' goal

Chelsea vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
Newcastle 1 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Bournemouth 3 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Philip Billing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 76.21%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 8.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.53%) and 1-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result

Chelsea 76.21% (+0.50)
Draw 15.25% (-0.19)
Bournemouth 8.53% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.2% (-0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.51% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 38.49% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 39.22% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 60.78% (+0.18)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 91.58% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 8.42% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 70.74% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 29.27% (-0.18)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 50.45% (-0.80)
Under 0.5 49.55% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 15.65% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 84.35% (+0.58)

Score analysis

Chelsea 76.19%
Draw 15.25%
Bournemouth 8.53%
Chelsea
2-0 @ 12.77% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 10.53% (+0.19)
1-0 @ 10.32% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.4% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 6.52% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.23% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.04)
6-0 @ 1.33% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 76.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.25% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.17% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 15.25%
Bournemouth
0-1 @ 2.93% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.55% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 8.53%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emiliano Marcondes 66' goal
  • goal Armando Broja 72'
  • goal Ike Ugbo 76'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Feb 29, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Jefferson Lerma 54' goal
  • Joshua King 57' goal
  • Adam Smith 59' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorginho 17'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 33'
  • yellowcard Andreas Christensen 71'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 85'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateo Kovacic 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 50'
  • yellowcard Dan Gosling 82'
  • goal Dan Gosling 84'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Jan 30, 2019 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joshua King 47' goal
  • David Brooks 63' goal
  • Andrew Surman 72' yellowcard
  • Joshua King 75' goal
  • Charlie Daniels 90' goal
EFL Cup
Dec 19, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge (London)
  • Cesc Fabregas 60' yellowcard
  • Eden Hazard 84' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Stanislas 57'
  • yellowcard Jack Simpson 65'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcos Alonso 33' yellowcard
  • N'Golo Kante 55' yellowcard
  • Pedro 72' goal
  • Eden Hazard 85' goal
  • yellowcard Dan Gosling 20'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Lerma 70'

Build-up

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