EFL Cup
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Adam Smith 67' goal

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Bournemouth

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 58.62% (-3.64)
Draw 21.09% (+0.23)
Bournemouth 20.29% (+3.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.61% (+5.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.18% (+4.48)
Under 2.5 38.82% (-4.48)
Over 3.5 38.86% (+4.56)
Under 3.5 61.13% (-4.56)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 87% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 12.99% (-0.35)
Over 1.5 60.49% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 39.51% (-0.71)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 67.36% (+6.34)
Under 0.5 32.64% (-6.34)
Over 1.5 30.81% (+6.52)
Under 1.5 69.18% (-6.52)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 58.62%
Draw 21.09%
Bournemouth 20.29%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-1.71)
1-0 @ 8.65% (-1.82)
3-1 @ 6.73% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-1.08)
3-2 @ 3.77% (+0.63)
4-1 @ 3.43% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.51)
4-2 @ 1.92% (+0.34)
5-1 @ 1.4% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.69% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.86)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.96)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-97.40)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.09%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 5.43% (+0.78)
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 2.66% (+0.36)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.60)
1-3 @ 2.03% (+0.57)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 20.29%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alexander Isak 67' goal
  • goal Philip Billing 62'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Jul 1, 2020 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Lloyd Kelly 23' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ake 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dan Gosling 90'+4' goal
  • goal Dwight Gayle 5'
  • goal Sean Longstaff 30'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 57'
  • goal Valentino Lazaro 77'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Isaac Hayden 37' yellowcard
  • DeAndre Yedlin 42' goal
  • Ciaran Clark 52' goal
  • Federico Fernandez 75' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Wilson 14'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Mar 16, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jefferson Lerma 19' yellowcard
  • Jordon Ibe 45' yellowcard
  • Joshua King 48' goal
  • Joshua King 81' goal
  • Charlie Daniels 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 9'
  • goal Salomon Rondon 45'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 75'
  • goal Matt Ritchie 94'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Salomon Rondon 7' goal
  • Salomon Rondon 40' goal
  • Fabian Schar 45' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jefferson Lerma 45'
  • yellowcard Lewis Cook 90'
Premier League
Feb 24, 2018 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Nathan Ake 52' yellowcard
  • Adam Smith 80' goal
  • Dan Gosling 89' goal
  • goal Dwight Gayle 17'
  • goal Dwight Gayle 45'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 53'
  • yellowcard DeAndre Yedlin 82'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Diame 85'
  • yellowcard Ayoze Perez 91'