Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT St. James' Park

Adam Smith 67'

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Newcastle see off Bournemouth to reach EFL Cup quarter-finals

Newcastle see off Bournemouth to reach EFL Cup quarter-finals

Football | 20 Dec 2022 21:42

Match Preview

Newcastle vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Newcastle vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 18 Dec 2022 14:34

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

W
W
W
D
W
W

Bournemouth

All competitions

W
W
L
L
L
L

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 58.62% ▼ (-3.64)

Draw 21.09% ▲ (+0.23)

Bournemouth 20.29% ▲ (+3.41)

Both Teams to Score:

58.61% ▲ (+5.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.18% ▲ (+4.48)

Under 2.5 38.82% ▼ (-4.48)

Over 3.5 38.86% ▲ (+4.56)

Under 3.5 61.13% ▼ (-4.56)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 87% ▲ (+0.35)

Under 0.5 12.99% ▼ (-0.35)

Over 1.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.71)

Under 1.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.71)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 67.36% ▲ (+6.34)

Under 0.5 32.64% ▼ (-6.34)

Over 1.5 30.81% ▲ (+6.52)

Under 1.5 69.18% ▼ (-6.52)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 58.62%

Draw 21.09%

Bournemouth 20.29%

Newcastle United

2-1 @ 9.89% ▼ (-0.06)

2-0 @ 8.83% ▼ (-1.71)

1-0 @ 8.65% ▼ (-1.82)

3-1 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.06)

3-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-1.08)

3-2 @ 3.77% ▲ (+0.63)

4-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.08)

4-0 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.51)

4-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.34)

5-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.05)

5-0 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.19)

Other @ 3.68%

Total : 58.62%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.18)

2-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.86)

0-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.96)

3-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-97.40)

Other @ 0.22%

Total : 21.09%

Bournemouth

1-2 @ 5.43% ▲ (+0.78)

0-1 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.16)

0-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.36)

2-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.60)

1-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.57)

Other @ 3.36%

Total : 20.29%

Head to Head

Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Alexander Isak 67'

Philip Billing 62'

Jul 1, 2020 6.00pm

1

4

HT : 0 2

FT Vitality Stadium

Lloyd Kelly 23'
Nathan Ake 45'+2'
Dan Gosling 90'+4'

Dwight Gayle 5'
Sean Longstaff 30'
Miguel Almiron 57'
Valentino Lazaro 77'

Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Isaac Hayden 37'
DeAndre Yedlin 42'
Ciaran Clark 52'
Federico Fernandez 75'

Harry Wilson 14'

Mar 16, 2019 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Jefferson Lerma 19'
Jordon Ibe 45'
Joshua King 48'
Joshua King 81'
Charlie Daniels 83'

Ayoze Perez 9'
Salomon Rondon 45'
Isaac Hayden 75'
Matt Ritchie 94'

Nov 10, 2018 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 1

FT

Salomon Rondon 7'
Salomon Rondon 40'
Fabian Schar 45'
Salomon Rondon 90'

Jefferson Lerma 45'
Lewis Cook 90'

Feb 24, 2018 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 0 2

FT

Nathan Ake 52'
Adam Smith 80'
Dan Gosling 89'

Dwight Gayle 17'
Dwight Gayle 45'
Matt Ritchie 53'
DeAndre Yedlin 82'
Mohamed Diame 85'
Ayoze Perez 91'

Form Data

Newcastle 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano

Al-Hilal 0 - 5 Newcastle

Newcastle 1 - 0 Chelsea

Newcastle 0 - 0 Crystal Palace

Southampton 1 - 4 Newcastle

Newcastle 4 - 0 Aston Villa

Bournemouth 3 - 0 Everton

Bournemouth 4 - 1 Everton

Leeds 4 - 3 Bournemouth

Bournemouth 2 - 3 Spurs

West Ham 2 - 0 Bournemouth

Bournemouth 0 - 1 Southampton