Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United in this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Manchester United |
41.89% ( -0.78) | 25.03% ( 0.08) | 33.08% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.61% ( -0.16) | 46.39% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% ( -0.15) | 68.67% ( 0.15) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( -0.44) | 22.11% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( -0.66) | 55.47% ( 0.66) |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.13% ( 0.36) | 26.87% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.81% ( 0.46) | 62.18% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Manchester United |
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |