Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 27, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 19' goal
  • Anthony Martial 23' goal
  • Fred 87' goal

Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Fulham 1 - 2 Man Utd
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Marcus Rashford

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 9.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 73.79% (+0.39)
Draw 16.59% (-0.23)
Nottingham Forest 9.62% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.07% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.81% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 41.19% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 36.41% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 63.59% (-0.56)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 90.34% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 9.66% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 67.77% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 32.23% (-0.55)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 50.99% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 49.01% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 16.04% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 83.96% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Manchester United 73.77%
Draw 16.59%
Nottingham Forest 9.62%
Manchester United
2-0 @ 12.92% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 10.07% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.19% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 5.89% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 4.2% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.75% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.96% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.5% (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.07% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 73.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.89% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 16.59%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 2.81% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 9.62%

Head to Head

Premier League
Feb 6, 1999 3.00pm
1
8
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Alan Rogers 6' goal
  • Hugo Porfirio 79' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Yorke 2'
  • goal Andy Cole 7'
  • yellowcard Roy Keane 37'
  • goal Andy Cole 49'
  • goal Dwight Yorke 66'
  • yellowcard Phil Neville 81'
Premier League
Dec 26, 1998 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ronny Johnsen 28' goal
  • Ronny Johnsen 59' goal
  • Ryan Giggs 62' goal
Premier League
Dec 26, 1996 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal David Beckham 25'
  • goal Nicky Butt 44'
  • goal Ole Gunnar Solskjaer 67'
Premier League
Sep 14, 1996 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ole Gunnar Solskjaer 22' goal
  • Ryan Giggs 43' goal
  • Eric Cantona 82' goal
  • Eric Cantona 90' goal
  • goal Alfe-Inge Haaland 4'
Premier League
Apr 28, 1996 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Roy Keane 24' yellowcard
  • Paul Scholes 41' goal
  • David Beckham 44' goal
  • David Beckham 54' goal
  • Ryan Giggs 69' goal
  • Eric Cantona 89' goal
  • yellowcard Scot Gemmill 42'
  • yellowcard Stuart Pearce 85'
Premier League
Nov 27, 1995 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paul McGregor 19' goal
  • yellowcard Gary Pallister 44'
  • goal Eric Cantona 66'

Build-up

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