Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gibbs-White (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

Nottingham Forest beat Crystal Palace 1-0 to climb off the bottom of the Premier League table and move to within one point of safety ahead of the winter break.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Spurs
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Crystal Palace (3-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Crystal Palace
41.62% ( 0.22)	26.77% ( -0.06)	31.6% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.81% (

0.19)

54.19% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.4% (

0.16)

75.59% (

-0.16)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

0.2)

25.68% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.4% (

0.27)

60.6% (

-0.27)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

-0.01)

31.72% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86% (

-0.01)

68.14% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 41.62%

Crystal Palace 31.6%

Draw 26.77%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 41.62%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.6%