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EFL Cup

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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Blackburn
1 - 4
Nott'm Forest

Wharton (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Johnson (13' pen., 90+2'), Lingard (53'), Awoniyi (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Friday, December 16 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawNottingham Forest
41.07% (-0.272 -0.27)25.97% (0.023 0.02)32.97% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)50.52% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)72.45% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)24.32% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (-0.214 -0.21)58.71% (0.215 0.21)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.149 0.15)28.96% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.182 0.18)64.85% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 41.07%
    Nottingham Forest 32.97%
    Draw 25.97%
Blackburn RoversDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Nott'm Forest

Blackburn Rovers
37.0%
Draw
9.2%
Nottingham Forest
53.8%
119
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Blackburn
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Buckley (18'), Lenihan (40'), Rothwell (50'), Brereton Diaz (59')
Lenihan (53')
Garner (23'), Johnson (90' pen.)
Colback (31'), Garner (69'), Surridge (87')
Aug 18, 2021 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Blackburn
Zinckernagel (69')
Colback (54'), Gabriel (85'), Gabriel (90')
Ayala (47'), Lenihan (86')
Gallagher (66'), Carter (71'), Brereton Diaz (90+2')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Blackburn
Mighten (26')
Murray (42'), Garner (68')

Harwood-Bellis (2')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Blackburn
0-1
Nott'm Forest

Johnson (58'), Gallagher (72')
Lolley (90')
Figueiredo (28')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-2
Blackburn
Lolley (22'), Grabban (25' pen., 55')
Sow (45')
Downing (39'), Worrall (71' og.)
Bell (91')
> Match Report
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