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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Blackburn logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Blackburn

Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Burnley and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
69.64% (2.099 2.1)18.95% (-0.581 -0.58)11.41% (-1.518 -1.52)
Both teams to score 44.64% (-2.783 -2.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-1.191 -1.19)46.67% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-1.127 -1.13)68.94% (1.128 1.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.241 0.24)12.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.503 0.5)37.94% (-0.502 -0.5)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.87% (-3.318 -3.32)49.13% (3.32 3.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95% (-2.475 -2.48)84.05% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69.63%
    Blackburn Rovers 11.41%
    Draw 18.95%
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.89 0.89)
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.701 0.7)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.409 0.41)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.271 -0.27)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.189 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.63%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.95%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 3.19% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 11.41%

How you voted: Burnley vs Blackburn

Burnley
66.2%
Draw
22.1%
Blackburn Rovers
11.8%
68
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
Oct 24, 2015 12.30pm
Sep 14, 2013 12.15pm