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Championship | Gameweek 21
Nov 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Blackburn logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Blackburn

Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Cork (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Travis (42'), Ayala (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Burnley and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 3-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Burnley 1-1 Blackburn Rovers

While Blackburn are yet to record a draw in the Championship this season, they did so in midweek in the EFL Cup, showing that they are capable of battling back in that situation. We feel that something similar could occur at Turf Moor, Burnley holding a lead before Rovers claim a late leveller. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
69.64% (2.099 2.1) 18.95% (-0.581 -0.58) 11.41% (-1.518 -1.52)
Both teams to score 44.64% (-2.783 -2.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-1.191 -1.19)46.67% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.06% (-1.127 -1.13)68.94% (1.128 1.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.241 0.24)12.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (0.503 0.5)37.94% (-0.502 -0.5)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.87% (-3.318 -3.32)49.13% (3.32 3.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.95% (-2.475 -2.48)84.05% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69.63%
    Blackburn Rovers 11.41%
    Draw 18.95%
BurnleyDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-0 @ 13.26% (0.89 0.89)
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.236 -0.24)
3-0 @ 9.29% (0.701 0.7)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 4.88% (0.409 0.41)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.271 -0.27)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.189 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3%
Total : 69.63%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.296 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 18.95%
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-2 @ 3.19% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.224 -0.22)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 11.41%

How you voted: Burnley vs Blackburn

Burnley
66.2%
Draw
22.1%
Blackburn Rovers
11.8%
68
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6Middlesbrough209473425931
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall186752016425
14Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
15Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
16Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
17Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
18Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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