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Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 25, 2022 at 8pm UK
Turf Moor
Norwich logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Norwich

Rodriguez (82' pen.)
Rodriguez (38'), Tella (58'), Cork (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aarons (21'), Hayden (27'), Hanley (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Norwich City

Victory for either side at Turf Moor would send a message to the rest of the league as to their promotion credentials, although a tight affair could be on the cards on Friday. Burnley have already drawn three of their opening four home games this term and we can see the points being shared once again in Lancashire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
47.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 25.48% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 26.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.18% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.51% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)54.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.86% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)70.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 47.76%
    Norwich City 26.75%
    Draw 25.48%
BurnleyDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Burnley vs Norwich

Burnley
79.7%
Draw
12.0%
Norwich City
8.3%
133
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Norwich

Tarkowski (11'), Wood (24'), Lowton (25'), Brownhill (33'), Rodriguez (49')

Normann (27'), Aarons (74')
Jul 18, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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