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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Norwich City |
| 47.76% ( | 25.48% ( | 26.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( | 51.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( | 73.18% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( | 21.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% ( | 54.56% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( | 33.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.46% ( | 70.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Norwich City |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.75% |