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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Burnley logo

Coventry
0 - 1
Burnley

FT(HT: 0-1)
Tella (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 0-0 Coventry
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Stoke
Wednesday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawBurnley
32.08% (-0.105 -0.11)27.37%40.55% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)56.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)77.37% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)32.49% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)69.01% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (0.045000000000002 0.05)27.26% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.061 0.06)62.69% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 32.08%
    Burnley 40.55%
    Draw 27.37%
Coventry CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.08%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 11.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.55%

How you voted: Coventry vs Burnley

Coventry City
25.0%
Draw
20.8%
Burnley
54.2%
48
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Oct 22, 2011 3pm
Coventry
1-2
Burnley
McDonald (59')
Bell (58'), Murphy (87'), Wood (90')
Bigirimana (81')
Wallace (73')
Rodriguez (32'), Bartley (53'), Wallace (67'), Edgar (79')
Mar 15, 2011 3pm
Burnley
2-2
Coventry
Rodriguez (18', 79')
Carlisle (81'), Elliott (82')
Jutkiewicz (61'), McSheffrey (75')
O'Halloran (36'), Baker (89')
Nov 20, 2010 3pm
Feb 17, 2009 3pm
rhs 2.0


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