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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Burnley logo

Sunderland
2 - 4
Burnley

Diallo (16'), Neill (20')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tella (50'), Benson (61'), Zaroury (69'), Brownhill (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawBurnley
41.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)30.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.2% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.68%79.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)63.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)34.61% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.33%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 41.12%
    Burnley 30.92%
    Draw 27.95%
SunderlandDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.34%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 7.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 41.12%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.92%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Burnley

Sunderland
37.5%
Draw
17.0%
Burnley
45.5%
112
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2019 7.45pm
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
2-0
Sunderland
Vokes (45'), Gray (83')
Defour (78'), Barton (92')

Love (12')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Dec 31, 2016 3pm
Burnley
4-1
Sunderland
Gray (31', 51', 53'), Barnes (67' pen.)
Marney (45')
Defoe (71')
Jones (42')