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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Burnley |
| 41.13% ( | 27.95% ( | 30.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.2% ( | 58.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.68% | 79.31% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% ( | 28.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% ( | 63.77% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( | 34.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% ( | 71.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.77% Total : 41.12% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.73% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.92% |