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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Burnley logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Burnley

Hogan (80')
Chong (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berg Gudmundsson (74')
Cork (44'), Zaroury (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Burnley

Burnley are in sensational form as they travel to St Andrew's but Birmingham will not be broken down as easily as Swansea were on Saturday afternoon. Eustace's team have fared well against the higher-ranked sides in the Championship and a clash with the Clarets under the floodlights will be a challenge Blues relish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
19.41% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07) 24% (0.323 0.32) 56.59% (-0.258 -0.26)
Both teams to score 47.79% (-1.047 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52% (-1.342 -1.34)52.48% (1.341 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85% (-1.163 -1.16)74.15% (1.161 1.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (-0.853 -0.85)41.44% (0.851 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.759 -0.76)77.94% (0.758 0.76)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.592 -0.59)18.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-1.011 -1.01)49.52% (1.009 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 19.41%
    Burnley 56.58%
    Draw 23.99%
Birmingham CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.01% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 19.41%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 12.9% (0.44 0.44)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 56.58%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Burnley

Birmingham City
20.5%
Draw
19.2%
Burnley
60.3%
73
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Birmingham
1-2
Burnley
Maghoma (55')
Toral (33')
Toral (94')
Boyd (31'), Gray (77')
Ward (37'), Boyd (71'), Marney (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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