Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Oct 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
1 - 1
Burnley

Hogan (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Berg Gudmundsson (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Birmingham
Sunday, October 16 at 3.20pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Swansea
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Burnley
19.41% ( -0.07)	24% ( 0.32)	56.59% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 47.79% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

-1.34)

52.48% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

-1.16)

74.15% (

1.16)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.56% (

-0.85)

41.44% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.06% (

-0.76)

77.94% (

0.76)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.61% (

-0.59)

18.38% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

-1.01)

49.52% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 19.41%

Burnley 56.58%

Draw 23.99%

Birmingham City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.41%	1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.99%	0-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 10.92% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.58%