Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT St. Andrew's Stadium

Scott Hogan 80'

Johann Berg Gudmundsson 74'

Birmingham City vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Birmingham vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Preview: Birmingham vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Football | 17 Oct 2022 10:15

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

W
W
L
D
D
W

Championship

W
W
L
D
D
W

Last game

Oct 16, 2022 3.20pm

Hull City 0 - 2 Birmingham

Goals scored

47

Top scorer

Scott Hogan

Burnley

All competitions

W
W
D
D
W
D

Championship

W
W
D
D
W
D

Last game

Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm

Burnley 4 - 0 Swansea

Goals scored

87

Top scorer

Nathan Tella

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Birmingham City 19.41% ▼ (-0.07)

Draw 24% ▲ (+0.33)

Burnley 56.59% ▼ (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score:

47.79% ▼ (-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.52% ▼ (-1.35)

Under 2.5 52.48% ▲ (+1.35)

Over 3.5 25.85% ▼ (-1.17)

Under 3.5 74.15% ▲ (+1.17)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 58.56% ▼ (-0.86)

Under 0.5 41.44% ▲ (+0.86)

Over 1.5 22.06% ▼ (-0.76)

Under 1.5 77.94% ▲ (+0.76)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 81.61% ▼ (-0.60)

Under 0.5 18.38% ▲ (+0.59)

Over 1.5 50.48% ▼ (-1.02)

Under 1.5 49.52% ▲ (+1.01)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 19.41%

Draw 23.99%

Burnley 56.58%

Birmingham City

1-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.20)

2-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.07)

2-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.03)

3-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.06)

3-2 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 2.02%

Total : 19.41%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.36% ▲ (+0.12)

0-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.40)

2-2 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.14)

Other @ 0.77%

Total : 23.99%

Burnley

0-1 @ 12.9% ▲ (+0.44)

0-2 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.17)

1-2 @ 9.63% ▼ (-0.08)

0-3 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.03)

1-3 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.15)

0-4 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.07)

2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.13)

1-4 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.11)

2-4 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 3.21%

Total : 56.58%

Head to Head

Apr 16, 2016 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Jon Toral 33'
Jacques Maghoma 55'
Jon Toral 94'

George Boyd 31'
Stephen Ward 37'
George Boyd 71'
Andre Gray 77'
Dean Marney 84'

Aug 15, 2015 12.30pm

2

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Jelle Vossen 45'
Michael Keane 51'
Ben Mee 65'
Matt Taylor 81'
Scott Arfield 87'

Jon Toral 10'
Paul Caddis 63'
Jonathan Spector 78'

Mar 12, 2014 7.45pm

3

3

HT : 0 1

FT

Oliver Lee 34'
Federico Macheda 64'
Paul Robinson 68'
Emyr Huws 69'
Federico Macheda 90'

Dean Marney 30'
Michael Duff 67'
Sam Vokes 86'
Jason Shackell 90'

Sep 17, 2013 7.45pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Danny Ings 3'
Scott Arfield 46'
Danny Ings 54'

Jan 26, 2013 3.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Ross Wallace 27'
Ross Wallace 56'
Dean Marney 61'

Curtis Davies 21'
Marlon King 90'

Dec 22, 2012 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Curtis Davies 30'
Ravel Morrison 50'
Mitch Hancox 57'
Curtis Davies 67'
Hayden Mullins 74'
Nikola Zigic 89'

Chris McCann 15'
Joseph Mills 30'
Danny Ings 66'
Ross Wallace 68'

Form Data

Hull City 0 - 2 Birmingham

Birmingham 3 - 0 Bristol City

Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Birmingham

Sheff Utd 1 - 1 Birmingham

Birmingham 0 - 0 Coventry

West Brom 2 - 3 Birmingham

Burnley 4 - 0 Swansea

Coventry 0 - 1 Burnley

Burnley 1 - 1 Stoke

Cardiff 1 - 1 Burnley

Burnley 2 - 1 Bristol City

Preston 1 - 1 Burnley