/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
-
Vitinho
15'
-
Jay Rodriguez
29'
-
Anass Zaroury
45'+3'
-
Jay Rodriguez
57'
Burnley vs Swansea City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F31%2Fvincent-kompany.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
59.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
21.99%
▼
(-0.07)
Swansea City
18.22%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
51.86%
▲
(+0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
54%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 2.5
46%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
31.69%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
68.3%
▼
(-0.21)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
85.01%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
14.98%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
56.57%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
43.42%
▼
(-0.20)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
60.99%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
39%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
24.27%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
75.72%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Burnley
59.77%
Draw
21.99%
Swansea City
18.22%
Burnley
1-0
@
11.09%
▼
(-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 59.77%
2-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 59.77%
Draw
1-1
@
10.44%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.99%
0-0 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.99%
Swansea City
0-1
@
5.5%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.22%
1-2 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.22%
