Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley4 - 0Swansea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Burnley 1-1 Swansea City
With this being a meeting with two of the form teams in the division, we are expecting a highly-competitive contest. While Swansea are enjoying their best-ever run under Martin, we cannot ignore the amount of draws that Burnley have recorded this campaign, leading us to predict a share of the spoils. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Swansea City |
59.78% ( 0.1) | 21.99% ( -0.06) | 18.22% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
