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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Sunderland

Blackburn
2 - 0
Sunderland

Brereton Diaz (32'), Wharton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSunderland
43.31% (0.477 0.48)26.18% (-0.194 -0.19)30.51% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.476 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (0.675 0.68)52.21% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (0.578 0.58)73.91% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.53400000000001 0.53)23.95% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.75700000000001 0.76)58.17% (-0.755 -0.76)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (0.146 0.15)31.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (0.17 0.17)67.85% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 43.31%
    Sunderland 30.51%
    Draw 26.18%
Blackburn RoversDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Sunderland

Blackburn Rovers
71.6%
Draw
13.4%
Sunderland
14.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2012 8pm
Dec 11, 2011 1.30pm
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Sunderland
3-0
Blackburn
Bent (19'), Welbeck (11'), Gyan (89')
Ferdinand (79')

Dunn (51'), Biram Diouf (69')
Oct 18, 2010 3pm
Dec 28, 2009 3pm
Blackburn
2-2
Sunderland
Bent (52', 65')
Nosworthy (30'), Meyler (36'), Bardsley (88'), Da Silva (90')