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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Blackburn logo

Luton
2 - 0
Blackburn

Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Morris (41'), Lockyer (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Travis (45+1'), Brittain (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Coventry
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-2 Blackburn Rovers

Although 15 places separate these two sides at present, a closely-fought contest is to be expected at Kenilworth Road. Both teams have had plenty of joy in front of goal in recent weeks and we can see an entertaining score draw played out this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
46.65% (-0.302 -0.3) 26.86% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 26.49% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 47.65% (0.512 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (0.515 0.52)56.79% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.27% (0.41 0.41)77.73% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.082999999999998 0.08)24.34% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.116 0.12)58.74% (-0.115 -0.12)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.608 0.61)37.02% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (0.599 0.6)73.81% (-0.599 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 46.65%
    Blackburn Rovers 26.49%
    Draw 26.86%
Luton TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.73% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Luton vs Blackburn

Luton Town
35.0%
Draw
22.5%
Blackburn Rovers
42.5%
40
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Luton
0-0
Blackburn

Bree (29'), Lockyer (47'), Cornick (90+6')

Paul van Hecke (28'), Kaminski (90+6')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
2-2
Luton
Dolan (27'), Pickering (31')
Lenihan (8'), Dolan (48'), Brereton Diaz (49'), Gallagher (67')
Berry (73', 90+7')
Naismith (36'), Sluga (49'), Jerome (50'), Osho (59'), Lansbury (61')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Luton
1-1
Blackburn
Berry (69')
Gallagher (72')
Rothwell (32'), Johnson (71'), (78'), Brereton (90+4')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Luton
3-2
Blackburn
Carter (28' og.), Johnson (35' og.), Collins (59' pen.)
Armstrong (10'), Gallagher (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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