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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Norwich logo

Watford
2 - 1
Norwich

Louza (18'), Davis (31')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sargent (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Watford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.6% (-0.029 -0.03)45.99% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (0.10299999999999 0.1)55.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.53% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)35.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.090999999999994 0.09)58.26% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 27.41%
    Norwich City 45.98%
    Draw 26.6%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.41%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 12.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Norwich

Watford
30.0%
Draw
19.1%
Norwich City
50.9%
110
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Watford
Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Dec 26, 2020 7.45pm
Watford
1-0
Norwich
Sarr (39')
Capoue (18'), Cleverley (63'), Sarr (78'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0


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