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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Norwich logo

Watford
2 - 1
Norwich

Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Kamara (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sargent (45')
Aarons (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 3-1 Watford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Norwich City

Both sides have a host of attacking quality which suggests this clash could be an entertaining one between two promotion-chasing clubs. Norwich have had the better start to the season but you expect Watford to move up the table as Slaven Bilic puts his imprint onto his team, which could start with a point at home this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
27.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.6% (-0.029 -0.03) 45.99% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.68% (0.10299999999999 0.1)55.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.53% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)35.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78% (0.051000000000002 0.05)72.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.060000000000002 0.06)24.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.090999999999994 0.09)58.26% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 27.41%
    Norwich City 45.98%
    Draw 26.6%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 27.41%
1-1 @ 12.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 12.14% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Watford vs Norwich

Watford
30.0%
Draw
19.1%
Norwich City
50.9%
110
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2022 8pm
Watford
0-3
Norwich

Dennis (36')
Dennis (78')
Sargent (51', 74'), Kucka (90+2' og.)
McLean (38')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Norwich
1-3
Watford
Pukki (35')
Williams (90+5')
Dennis (17'), Sarr (63', 80')
Cathcart (37')
Apr 20, 2021 6pm
Dec 26, 2020 7.45pm
Watford
1-0
Norwich
Sarr (39')
Capoue (18'), Cleverley (63'), Sarr (78'), Hughes (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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