Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.