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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
0 - 1
Luton


Cantwell (75')
McLean (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morris (62')
Potts (74'), Adebayo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-2 Luton Town

Norwich's mini-slump is slightly concerning, but they are still scoring goals and playing well at home. Luton should not be taken lightly, though, and we expect them to leave Carrow Road with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
46.28% (0.225 0.23) 25.67% (-0.524 -0.52) 28.05% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 52.29% (1.803 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (2.247 2.25)51.32% (-2.253 -2.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (1.929 1.93)73.14% (-1.935 -1.94)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (1.058 1.06)22.16% (-1.063 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (1.571 1.57)55.55% (-1.576 -1.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (1.419 1.42)32.82% (-1.424 -1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (1.55 1.55)69.39% (-1.555 -1.55)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.28%
    Luton Town 28.05%
    Draw 25.67%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.96% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.127 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.679 -0.68)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.258 0.26)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
67.5%
Draw
16.9%
Luton Town
15.7%
83
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
Jul 25, 2018 7.45pm
Luton
1-3
Norwich
Gambin (57')
Hanley (8'), Rhodes (14' pen.), Pukki (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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