Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.