Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Oct 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 1
Luton

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 3-1 QPR
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Luton Town
46.28% ( 0.23)	25.67% ( -0.52)	28.05% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 52.29% (

1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

2.25)

51.32% (

-2.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.85% (

1.93)

73.14% (

-1.94)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

1.06)

22.16% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45% (

1.57)

55.55% (

-1.58)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.17% (

1.42)

32.82% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.61% (

1.55)

69.39% (

-1.55)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 46.28%

Luton Town 28.05%

Draw 25.67%

Norwich City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.68) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.05%