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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
3 - 1
QPR

Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Horvath (90+1' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Luton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Reading
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02)25.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.98% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)53.07% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.044 -0.04)74.66% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)54.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)36.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)73.07% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.42%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.98%
    Draw 25.59%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Luton vs QPR

Luton Town
22.0%
Draw
11.9%
Queens Park Rangers
66.1%
59
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
QPR
3-1
Luton
Austin (20'), Johansen (60'), Adomah (90')
Austin (1')
Dewsbury-Hall (43')
Rea (45')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Luton
0-2
QPR
Austin (39'), Bonne (88')
Bonne (89')
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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