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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
49.43% ( 0.02) | 25.6% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.93% ( -0.05) | 53.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.34% ( -0.04) | 74.66% ( 0.05) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( -0.01) | 21.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% ( -0.02) | 54.54% ( 0.02) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.72% ( -0.05) | 36.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.93% ( -0.06) | 73.07% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.42% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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