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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
QPR logo

Luton
3 - 1
QPR

Adebayo (18'), Dunne (77' og.), Freeman (90+3')
Clark (44'), Lansbury (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Horvath (90+1' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Luton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Reading
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Queens Park Rangers

We can envisage a closely-fought encounter between two competitive teams on Saturday, with a share of the spoils probably the most likely outcome. Both teams have been impressive defensively of late so they could struggle to create chances against each other, especially with Willock's potential absence for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
49.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.98% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.93% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)53.07% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.044 -0.04)74.66% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)21.49% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)54.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)36.28% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)73.07% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.42%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.98%
    Draw 25.59%
Luton TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 49.42%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Luton vs QPR

Luton Town
22.0%
Draw
11.9%
Queens Park Rangers
66.1%
59
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 12pm
Luton
1-2
QPR
Jerome (37')
Gray (55' pen.), Dickie (83')
Chair (45+4'), Amos (87'), Wallace (90+5')
Nov 19, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
2-0
Luton
Willock (10'), Austin (55')
Dozzell (59'), Austin (75'), Dickie (90')

Lansbury (13'), Bradley (54'), Adebayo (57')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
QPR
3-1
Luton
Austin (20'), Johansen (60'), Adomah (90')
Austin (1')
Dewsbury-Hall (43')
Rea (45')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Luton
0-2
QPR
Austin (39'), Bonne (88')
Bonne (89')
Jul 14, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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