Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Reading

Benson (66'), Zaroury (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ince (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reading had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Reading
70.53% ( -0.02)	18.89% ( 0.03)	10.58% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.07% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.41% (

-0.13)

48.59% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.29% (

-0.12)

70.71% (

0.12)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.45% (

-0.04)

12.55% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.41% (

-0.09)

38.59% (

0.09)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.11% (

-0.1)

51.89% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.07% (

-0.06)

85.93% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Burnley 70.52%

Reading 10.58%

Draw 18.89%

Burnley	Draw	Reading
2-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 70.52%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.89%	0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2% Total : 10.58%