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Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Reading logo
Burnley
2 - 1
Reading
Benson (66'), Zaroury (90+4')
Harwood-Bellis (22'), Benson (90+6'), Muric (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ince (56')
Rahman (35'), Holmes (59'), N'Diaye (72'), Ince (90+8')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Reading

Having ended their recent losing streak, Reading will travel to the North-West with the belief that they can cause a surprise. Nevertheless, we are backing Burnley to continue along their merry way, potentially with a goal in either half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reading had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawReading
70.53% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 18.89% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 10.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 42.07% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.41% (-0.133 -0.13)48.59% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (-0.121 -0.12)70.71% (0.12299999999999 0.12)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)12.55% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)38.59% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.11% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)51.89% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.07% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)85.93% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 70.52%
    Reading 10.58%
    Draw 18.89%
BurnleyDrawReading
2-0 @ 14.02% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 13.51% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 70.52%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.89%
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%

How you voted: Burnley vs Reading

Burnley
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Reading
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
May 3, 2014 12.15pm
Reading
2-2
Burnley
Trippier (16'), McCleary (58')
Akpan (37')
Arfield (19'), Ings (28')
Arfield (60'), Mee (69'), Duff (81')
Feb 17, 2012 8pm
Reading
1-0
Burnley
Roberts (11')
Roberts (40'), Gorkss (66'), Hunt (84')

Wallace (39'), Duff (45'), Rodriguez (48'), Marney (66')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester17140331102142
2Ipswich TownIpswich17123236231339
3West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1895429171232
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1795328171132
5Southampton179442827131
6Hull City188642822630
7Preston North EndPreston188462430-628
8Cardiff CityCardiff188372721627
9Middlesbrough188372926327
10Sunderland178272719826
11Blackburn RoversBlackburn178182726125
12Bristol City177461918125
13Watford186662622424
14Norwich CityNorwich187293235-323
15Coventry CityCoventry185762321222
16Birmingham CityBirmingham176472123-222
17Stoke CityStoke186391825-721
18Swansea CitySwansea175572423120
19Millwall175571922-320
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth185492928119
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield173771529-1416
22Queens Park RangersQPR1834111530-1513
23Rotherham UnitedRotherham1826101737-2012
24Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds171313829-216

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