/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frealog.png)
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Manuel Benson
66'
-
Anass Zaroury
90'+4'
-
Tom Ince
56'
Burnley vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 70.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Reading had a probability of 10.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.51%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
70.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
18.89%
▲
(+0.03)
Reading
10.58%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
42.07%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.41%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
48.59%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
29.29%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
70.71%
▲
(+0.13)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
87.45%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
12.55%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
61.41%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
38.59%
▲
(+0.10)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5
48.11%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
51.89%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
14.07%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
85.93%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Burnley
70.52%
Draw
18.89%
Reading
10.58%
Burnley
2-0
@
14.02%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 13.51% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 70.52%
1-0 @ 13.51% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 70.52%
Draw
1-1
@
8.87%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.89%
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.89%
Reading
0-1
@
4.27%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%
