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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Birmingham

Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
Vale (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hogan (81')
Sanderson (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

Blackburn look set for an automatic promotion push this season and supporters will be expecting another three points against Birmingham this weekend. Birmingham are in good form but expended a lot of energy to earn a point off Burnley, and with the short turnaround from Wednesday night to Saturday, Blues might struggle to match a dangerous Rovers team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
51.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.32% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 51.39%
    Birmingham City 22.28%
    Draw 26.31%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
74.6%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
13.6%
59
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
Jan 4, 2020 12.31pm
Birmingham
2-1
Blackburn
Crowley (4'), Bela (90')
Gimenez (54')
Sunjic (60')
Armstrong (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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