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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 51.4% ( | 26.32% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% | 57.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% ( | 78.64% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( | 22.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.7% ( | 56.3% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% ( | 41.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.96% ( | 78.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 13.97% 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 3-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.73% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.17% 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.28% |