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Championship | Gameweek 17
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Birmingham

Gallagher (17'), Wharton (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hogan (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Burnley
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
51.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)22.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.06%57.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)78.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)56.3% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.03% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 51.39%
    Birmingham City 22.28%
    Draw 26.31%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.97%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 22.28%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
74.6%
Draw
11.9%
Birmingham City
13.6%
59
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
Jan 4, 2020 12.31pm
Birmingham
2-1
Blackburn
Crowley (4'), Bela (90')
Gimenez (54')
Sunjic (60')
Armstrong (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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