/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fburlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frotlog.png)
-
Jay Rodriguez
35'
-
Manuel Benson
90'+1'
-
Halil Dervisoglu
90'+10'
-
Ben Wiles
3'
-
Chiedozie Ogbene
64'
Burnley vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result
Burnley
66.96%
▲
(+4.37)
Draw
20.41%
▼
(-1.59)
Rotherham United
12.63%
▼
(-2.78)
Both Teams to Score:
43.88%
▼
(-2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.18%
▲
(+0.88)
Under 2.5
49.82%
▼
(-0.87)
Over 3.5
28.18%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 3.5
71.82%
▼
(-0.78)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5
86.02%
▲
(+1.68)
Under 0.5
13.98%
▼
(-1.67)
Over 1.5
58.52%
▲
(+3.19)
Under 1.5
41.48%
▼
(-3.19)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5
51.01%
▼
(-3.66)
Under 0.5
48.99%
▲
(+3.66)
Over 1.5
16.05%
▼
(-2.75)
Under 1.5
83.95%
▲
(+2.75)
Score analysis
Burnley
66.95%
Draw
20.41%
Rotherham United
12.63%
Burnley
1-0
@
13.47%
▲
(+0.33)
2-0 @ 13.25% ▲ (+1.06)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+1.15)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.24)
4-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.78)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.15)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.39)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 66.95%
2-0 @ 13.25% ▲ (+1.06)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.20)
3-0 @ 8.7% ▲ (+1.15)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.24)
4-0 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.78)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.29)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.15)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.39)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.18)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 66.95%
Draw
1-1
@
9.61%
▼
(-0.79)
0-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.41%
0-0 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.41%
Rotherham United
0-1
@
4.89%
▼
(-0.73)
1-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.69)
0-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 12.63%
1-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.69)
0-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.48)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 12.63%
