Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
3 - 2
Rotherham

Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Rotherham United
66.96% ( 4.37)	20.41% ( -1.59)	12.63% ( -2.78)

Both teams to score 43.88% (

-2.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18% (

0.87)

49.82% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18% (

0.77)

71.82% (

-0.77)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

1.67)

13.98% (

-1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.52% (

3.19)

41.48% (

-3.19)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.01% (

-3.65)

48.99% (

3.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.05% (

-2.75)

83.95% (

2.75)

Score Analysis

Burnley 66.95%

Rotherham United 12.63%

Draw 20.41%

Burnley	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 13.25% ( 1.05) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 8.7% ( 1.15) 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.78) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.39) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 66.95%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.79) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.44) Other @ 0.58% Total : 20.41%	0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.69) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.48) Other @ 2.57% Total : 12.63%