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Championship | Gameweek 19
Nov 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Rotherham logo

Burnley
3 - 2
Rotherham

Rodriguez (35'), Benson (90+1'), Dervisoglu (90+10')
Maatsen (89'), Brownhill (89'), Beyer (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wiles (3'), Ogbene (64')
Bramall (68'), Barlaser (90'), Wiles (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Reading
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 3-0 Rotherham United

Burnley should be able to continue their impressive recent form with a fairly routine win against Rotherham United. The Millers have shipped too many goals in recent matches against weaker sides than Burnley, and we expect the Clarets to put a few past them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 12.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
66.96% (4.369 4.37) 20.41% (-1.589 -1.59) 12.63% (-2.775 -2.78)
Both teams to score 43.88% (-2.232 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (0.873 0.87)49.82% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (0.774 0.77)71.82% (-0.77000000000001 -0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (1.67 1.67)13.98% (-1.666 -1.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.52% (3.189 3.19)41.48% (-3.185 -3.19)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.01% (-3.652 -3.65)48.99% (3.656 3.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.05% (-2.747 -2.75)83.95% (2.75 2.75)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 66.95%
    Rotherham United 12.63%
    Draw 20.41%
BurnleyDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 13.47% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 13.25% (1.05 1.05)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 8.7% (1.15 1.15)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.235 0.24)
4-0 @ 4.28% (0.778 0.78)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.284 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.148 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.68% (0.386 0.39)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 66.95%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.786 -0.79)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.444 -0.44)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.41%
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.725 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.687 -0.69)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.476 -0.48)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 12.63%

How you voted: Burnley vs Rotherham

Burnley
85.3%
Draw
11.0%
Rotherham United
3.7%
109
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Rotherham
Vokes (27' pen.), Arfield (86')
Gray (64'), Mee (68')

Burke (20'), Smallwood (85')
Mar 12, 2005 3pm
Burnley
2-1
Rotherham
Sinclair (14'), Grant (11')
Gilchrist (4')
Aug 10, 2004 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
2Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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