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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Rotherham logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Rotherham

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-2 Stoke
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
50.02% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)25.12% (-0.023 -0.02)24.86% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (0.28 0.28)51.29% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (0.244 0.24)73.12% (-0.244 -0.24)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.52% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (0.032999999999994 0.03)53.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (0.36 0.36)35.41% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.375 0.38)72.17% (-0.374 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 50.01%
    Rotherham United 24.86%
    Draw 25.11%
Stoke CityDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 50.01%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Stoke vs Rotherham

Stoke City
44.4%
Draw
33.3%
Rotherham United
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
Rotherham
3-3
Stoke
Crooks (31', 67'), Smith (51')
Crooks (81'), Olosunde (90+1')
MacDonald (14' og.), Batth (62'), Powell (75')
Batth (39')
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Rotherham
McClean (27')
Fox (90+2')

MacDonald (41'), Smith (72')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Stoke
2-2
Rotherham
Vokes (27'), Clucas (29')
Vaulks (58'), Crooks (74')
Vaulks (60')
Sep 29, 2018 5.30pm
Rotherham
2-2
Stoke
Manning (47' pen.), Towell (50')
Ince (59'), Krkic (85')
Apr 2, 2005 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Rotherham
Noel-Williams (83')
Simonsen (24'), Russell (39'), Ricketts (43'), Taggart (46'), Duberry (65'), Thomas (78')
Duberry (90')
Noel-Williams (90' og.), Butler (23')
Campbell-Ryce (40'), Butler (53'), McLaren (65')