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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 50.02% ( | 25.12% ( | 24.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.71% ( | 51.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( | 73.12% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( | 20.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.98% ( | 53.01% ( |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% ( | 35.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( | 72.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 3-1 @ 5% ( 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( Other @ 1% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2% Total : 24.86% |