EFL Cup
Jan 25, 2023 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT The City Ground
  • goal Marcus Rashford 6'
  • goal Wout Weghorst 45'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 89'

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Manchester United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 29.06% (-0.86)
Draw 24.95% (+0.03)
Manchester United 45.99% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.27% (-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.27% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 47.73% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 30.08% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 69.92% (+0.53)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 69.79% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 30.21% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 33.63% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 66.37% (+1.08)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 79.2% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 20.8% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 46.54% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 53.46% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 29.06%
Draw 24.95%
Manchester United 45.99%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 7.52% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 29.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.28% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.95%
Manchester United
0-1 @ 9.87% (+0.27)
1-2 @ 9.27% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 7.75% (+0.25)
1-3 @ 4.85% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 4.06% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.59% (+0.07)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 45.99%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 27, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcus Rashford 19' goal
  • Anthony Martial 23' goal
  • Fred 87' goal
Premier League
Feb 6, 1999 3.00pm
1
8
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Alan Rogers 6' goal
  • Hugo Porfirio 79' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Yorke 2'
  • goal Andy Cole 7'
  • yellowcard Roy Keane 37'
  • goal Andy Cole 49'
  • goal Dwight Yorke 66'
  • yellowcard Phil Neville 81'
Premier League
Dec 26, 1998 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ronny Johnsen 28' goal
  • Ronny Johnsen 59' goal
  • Ryan Giggs 62' goal
Premier League
Dec 26, 1996 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal David Beckham 25'
  • goal Nicky Butt 44'
  • goal Ole Gunnar Solskjaer 67'
Premier League
Sep 14, 1996 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ole Gunnar Solskjaer 22' goal
  • Ryan Giggs 43' goal
  • Eric Cantona 82' goal
  • Eric Cantona 90' goal
  • goal Alfe-Inge Haaland 4'
Premier League
Apr 28, 1996 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Roy Keane 24' yellowcard
  • Paul Scholes 41' goal
  • David Beckham 44' goal
  • David Beckham 54' goal
  • Ryan Giggs 69' goal
  • Eric Cantona 89' goal
  • yellowcard Scot Gemmill 42'
  • yellowcard Stuart Pearce 85'

Build-up

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