Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.