Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 27'

Southampton vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Dec 31, 2022 3.00pm
Fulham 2 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
James Ward-Prowse

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2023 4.30pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 48.86% (+0.33)
Draw 25.22% (-0.11)
Nottingham Forest 25.92% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.02% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.13% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 50.87% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 27.25% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 72.75% (-0.22)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 79.16% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 20.84% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 46.48% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 53.52% (-0.39)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 65.72% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 34.28% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 29.02% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 70.98% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Southampton 48.85%
Draw 25.21%
Nottingham Forest 25.92%
Southampton
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.79% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.59% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 48.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.21%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 25.92%

Head to Head

Championship
Jan 14, 2012 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Chambers 50' redcard
  • yellowcard Jos Hooiveld 25'
  • goal David Connolly 65'
  • goal Morgan Schneiderlin 79'
Championship
Sep 10, 2011 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Rickie Lambert 8' goal
  • Rickie Lambert 24' goal
  • David Connolly 33' yellowcard
  • Jack Cork 51' yellowcard
  • Rickie Lambert 82' goal
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 7'
  • yellowcard Guy Moussi 26'
  • yellowcard Chris Gunter 33'
  • goal Radoslaw Majewski 42'
  • yellowcard Matt Derbyshire 81'
Championship
May 3, 2009 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Garner 73' goal
  • Luke Chambers 87' goal
  • Robert Earnshaw 90' goal
  • goal Bradley Wright-Phillips 16'
  • yellowcard Lloyd James 61'
Championship
Dec 20, 2008 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Lallana 19' yellowcard
  • Jack Cork 43' yellowcard
  • Rudi Skacel 61' yellowcard
  • Chris Perry 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Cohen 26'
  • yellowcard Brendan Moloney 35'
  • goal Wes Morgan 42'
  • goal Joe Garner 75'
Premier League
Dec 28, 1998 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve Chettle 54' goal
  • goal Hassan Kachloul 48'
Premier League
Aug 29, 1998 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matthew Le Tissier 89' goal
  • goal Jean-Claude Darcheville 52'
  • goal Steve Stone 68'