Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
48.86% ( 0.33) | 25.22% ( -0.1) | 25.92% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 52.02% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% ( 0.25) | 50.87% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.25% ( 0.22) | 72.75% ( -0.22) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( 0.24) | 20.84% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% ( 0.38) | 53.52% ( -0.38) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% ( -0.06) | 34.28% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% ( -0.06) | 70.98% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 11 | 18 | 35 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Aston Villa | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Fulham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 14 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 9 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
> Premier League Full Table |