Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 31, 2022 at 3pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
2 - 1
Southampton

Ward-Prowse (32'), Palhinha (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ward-Prowse (56')

The Match

Match Report

Fulham move into seventh position in the Premier League table courtesy of a 2-1 victory over Southampton at Craven Cottage.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-3 Fulham
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Brighton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 52%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fulham.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Southampton
52% ( -0.17)	23.59% ( 0.12)	24.41% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74% (

-0.46)

45.26% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

-0.44)

67.6% (

0.44)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59% (

-0.23)

17.41% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.15% (

-0.41)

47.85% (

0.41)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.48% (

-0.21)

32.52% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.95% (

-0.23)

69.05% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Fulham 52%

Southampton 24.41%

Draw 23.58%

Fulham	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.78% Total : 52%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.58%	0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.41%