Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
22.1% ( 1.3) | 22.96% ( 0.75) | 54.94% ( -2.05) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( -1.7) | 44.93% ( 1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.72% ( -1.65) | 67.29% ( 1.66) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.62% ( 0.28) | 34.38% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.91% ( 0.3) | 71.09% ( -0.3) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( -1.28) | 16.24% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -2.38) | 45.75% ( 2.38) |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.1% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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