Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Jan 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Chelsea

Aurier (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sterling (16')

Reaction

Chelsea head coach Graham Potter during draw with Nottingham Forest on January 1, 2023.

Graham Potter "concerned" by Chelsea's performance in Nottingham Forest draw

Graham Potter says that he had been left "concerned" by the level of Chelsea's performance during the 1-1 draw at Nottingham Forest on Sunday.

Jan 1, 19:45

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Chelsea
22.1% ( 1.3)	22.96% ( 0.75)	54.94% ( -2.05)

Both teams to score 54.96% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

-1.7)

44.93% (

1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.72% (

-1.65)

67.29% (

1.66)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

0.28)

34.38% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

0.3)

71.09% (

-0.3)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

-1.28)

16.24% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-2.38)

45.75% (

2.38)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 22.1%

Chelsea 54.93%

Draw 22.95%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.1%	1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.27) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.28) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.93%