Premier League
Gameweek
18
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fforlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
-
Serge Aurier
63'
-
Raheem Sterling
16'
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F52%2Fgraham-potter.JPG)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F52%2Fnottingham-forest.JPG)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F44%2Fgraham-potter.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F52%2Fchebou.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F52%2Freece-james.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F43%2Fgraham-potter_1.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result
Nottingham Forest
22.1%
▲
(+1.31)
Draw
22.96%
▲
(+0.75)
Chelsea
54.94%
▼
(-2.05)
Both Teams to Score:
54.96%
▼
(-0.60)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.07%
▼
(-1.70)
Under 2.5
44.93%
▲
(+1.70)
Over 3.5
32.72%
▼
(-1.66)
Under 3.5
67.29%
▲
(+1.66)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5
65.62%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
34.38%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
28.91%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
71.09%
▼
(-0.30)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
83.76%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 0.5
16.24%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 1.5
54.25%
▼
(-2.38)
Under 1.5
45.75%
▲
(+2.39)
Score analysis
Nottingham Forest
22.1%
Draw
22.95%
Chelsea
54.93%
Nottingham Forest
1-0
@
5.96%
▲
(+0.47)
2-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.1%
2-1 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.26)
2-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.28)
3-1 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 22.1%
Draw
1-1
@
10.83%
▲
(+0.41)
0-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.95%
0-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.95%
Chelsea
0-1
@
10.14%
▲
(+0.29)
1-2 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.32)
0-3 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.28)
0-4 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.28)
2-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 54.93%
1-2 @ 9.85% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.32)
0-3 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.34)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.28)
0-4 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.28)
2-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 54.93%
Head to Head
FA Cup
Gameweek
3
-
Callum Hudson-Odoi
6'
-
Ross Barkley
33'
-
Reece James
65'
-
Ryan Yates
77'
FA Cup
-
Ross Barkley
41'
-
Alvaro Morata
49'
-
Alvaro Morata
59'
-
Jack Colback
67'
EFL Cup
-
Kenedy
13'
-
Michy Batshuayi
18'
-
Charly Musonda
40'
-
Michy Batshuayi
53'
-
Michy Batshuayi
84'
-
Jack Hobbs
21'
-
Tendai Darikwa
90'
Premier League
-
Pierre van Hooijdonk
39'
-
Mikael Forssell
6'
-
Bjarne Goldbaek
25'
-
Bjarne Goldbaek
83'
Premier League
-
Gianfranco Zola
1'
-
Gus Poyet
35'
-
Jean-Claude Darcheville
69'
Premier League
-
Stuart Pearce
40'
-
Chris Bart-Williams
53'
Form Data
Build-up
Team News