Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
| 33% ( | 25.46% ( | 41.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( | 48.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( | 70.49% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( | 27.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( | 63.48% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( | 23.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( | 56.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 33% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0-2 @ 6.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.54% |