Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Fulham |
55.18% ( 2.04) | 22.98% ( -1.01) | 21.84% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 54.52% ( 1.89) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.66% ( 3.17) | 45.34% ( -3.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.32% ( 2.96) | 67.68% ( -2.95) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.7% ( 1.9) | 16.3% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.13% ( 3.33) | 45.87% ( -3.33) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.14% ( 0.8) | 34.86% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.4% ( 0.83) | 71.6% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Fulham |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.75) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.35) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.29) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.32% Total : 55.17% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.81) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.7) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.03% Total : 21.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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