MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 17:31:59| >> :600:5012295:5012295:
MK Dons
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Leicester logo

MK Dons
0 - 3
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-2)
Tielemans (18'), Perez (29'), Vardy (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Leicester City

MK Dons are more than capable of making this a difficult match for Leicester despite the difference in quality between the two sides. The Foxes might take a bit of time to get back in their rhythm, but we are still expecting Rodgers's side to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawLeicester City
35.55% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 23.76% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 40.69% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 62.17% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.13% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)39.87% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.77% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)62.23% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.6% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)22.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.09% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)55.91% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)19.88% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 35.55%
    Leicester City 40.69%
    Draw 23.75%
MK DonsDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.55%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.89% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 40.69%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Leicester

MK Dons
17.1%
Draw
10.1%
Leicester City
72.9%
129
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2017 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
MK Dons
0-0
Leicester
Aug 4, 2014 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
MK Dons
0-2
Leicester
Nugent (24'), Pearson (68')
Feb 28, 2009 3pm
Aug 9, 2008 3pm
Mar 11, 2000 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Leicester
Ardley (33' pen.), Cort (87')
Taggart (55')
rhs 2.0
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