EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
0 - 3
Leicester

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tielemans (18'), Perez (29'), Vardy (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Leicester City
35.55% ( 0.02)	23.76% ( 0.01)	40.69% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 62.17% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.13% (

-0.05)

39.87% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.77% (

-0.06)

62.23% (

0.06)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.6% (

-0.02)

22.4% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.09% (

-0.02)

55.91% (

0.03)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.03)

19.88% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48% (

-0.06)

52% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 35.55%

Leicester City 40.69%

Draw 23.75%

MK Dons	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.55%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 40.69%